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Copy of Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
Nonfat dry milk (NDM) remains the belle of the dairy ball as prices rose to fresh record highs this week. On Thursday, the spot price hit an all-time peak of $2.295/lb. though the price dipped a half cent on the final day of trading. By the conclusion of Friday’s spot session, NDM was up 2.75¢ from last week. While elevated NDM price levels have provided an encouraging lift to Class IV milk prices, they have also made U.S. milk powder uncompetitive compared to other internati
4 days ago4 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
A tiny bit of air leaked out of the spot milk powder market, and the entire dairy complex deflated. CME spot nonfat dry milk (NDM) notched an all-time high on Tuesday at $2.265 per pound. Prices slipped Wednesday and Thursday and then bounced back on Friday. Spot NDM closed the week at $2.2625, just a hairsbreadth off the high and up 0.25ȼ for the week.
May 13 min read
State Board Rejects Exclusion Requests
On Tuesday afternoon, the State Water Resources Control Board spent more than four hours considering requests from eight Tule Subbasin groundwater sustainability agencies (GSAs) to be excluded from the SGMA probation requirements – specifically, the requirements to report groundwater pumping and pay state fees tied to that pumping. See the next article for a meeting recap.
Apr 242 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
The short squeeze continues. Someone – or several someones – desperately need milk powder and they need it now. USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that prices are high enough that most milk powder users “are only buying loads to meet their immediate needs.” But for those that can’t do without, “it is difficult to find loads.” They bid the spot nonfat dry milk (NDM) market all the way up to $2.26 per pound this week, up 6ȼ from last Friday to a fresh all-time high. The spot mark
Apr 244 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
The milk powder market is sprinting straight uphill. Nonfat dry milk (NDM) rallied another 8.5ȼ this week and reached $2.20 per pound, the highest-ever price in the product’s 18-year tenure at the CME spot market. The short squeeze continues. USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that spot loads are tight from coast to coast, and they’re “particularly difficult to find in the Central region” where the expansion in cheese processing capacity has reduced the need for balancing. Even
Apr 174 min read
SGMA Round Up
The Kings County Farm Bureau (KCFB) was in court this week on their lawsuit against the State Water Resources Control Board. Here is an update from Dusty Ference, KCFB Executive Director:
Apr 174 min read
Federal Funding Enables Friant Water Authority Improvements
It was pretty exciting to hear at the Friant Water Authority (FWA) board meeting this week about the huge and immediate impact the $200 million allocation from the Big Beautiful Bill Congress passed a few months ago is having on FWA. New pump stations will soon be under construction and right of way purchases will be commencing on the next phase of the parallel canal subsidence fix on Friant-Kern. The influx of federal funding also paved the way to remove a huge conflict with
Mar 271 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
Today marks the official start of spring and longer days and warmer temperatures are helping to spur milk volumes upward seasonally. But changing seasons aren’t the only factor driving milk production growth as volumes continue to post impressive year over year gains. In its Milk Production report published this afternoon, USDA estimated that U.S. dairy producers made 18.255 billion pounds of milk in February, 2.9% more than during the same month last year. The agency also re
Mar 214 min read
State Regulatory Decisions (or Refusal to Make Decisions) Continue to Cost Critical Water Supplies in a Changing Climate
On February 9, 2026, Congressmen Costa, Gray, Valadao and Fong jointly sent a letter to Governor Newsom (read here) asking him to suspend a regulation in the Delta called the Port Chicago water quality standard because the triggering of this standard would require releases from the reservoirs and the loss of as much as 600,000 acre-feet of fresh water to the ocean. If you remember, in January the California drought map showed our state for the first time in a long time comple
Mar 212 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
The dairy markets are contending with an abundance of milk and a fresh infusion of global turmoil. That amped up the volatility on LaSalle Street. CME spot Cheddar blocks came out
strong on Monday and rallied to a four-month high at $1.63 per pound. But as the week wore on, blocks’ enthusiasm waned. They settled today at $1.53, down 8.75ȼ for the week.
Mar 144 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
It has been a dramatic and volatile week, both in and out of the dairy markets. All eyes have been on the developing conflict in the Middle East and analysts have been scrambling to deduce the impact for the dairy market. Outside of drastically reduced dairy demand in the Gulf States, concerns are circulating around two key issues. Firstly, freight rates have soared as standard shipping routes...
Mar 64 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
Butter futures jumped this week on the heels of a bullish Cold Storage report. USDA pegged January 31 butter inventories at 215.4 million pounds, down 17.4% from the year before. Domestic butter demand was robust and exports were strong enough to offset the significant growth in U.S. butterfat output. More recently, though, USDA’s Dairy Market News reported that butter churns are running “seven days a week… at or near max capacity.” And manufacturers tell Dairy Market News th
Feb 274 min read
Water Round Up
We had a good week of rain and snow. It is too early to tell what ultimate impact this week’s precipitation will have on this summer’s irrigation water supplies, but it is definitely positive. It also reduced the water cost impact of an old Delta regulation that requires releases of water stored in the reservoirs to be sent to the ocean to maintain a particular water quality level at “Port Chicago,” which is located in the western Delta. This regulation was put in place back
Feb 204 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
February weather and February trading have been unusually mercurial, with a mix of frigid lows, massive snowstorms, and warm, sunny skies. On LaSalle Street this week the Class III markets ran hot and then cold as traders digested news about international prices, government dairy purchases, and dairy exports. Butter, milk powder, and Class IV futures caught fire and stayed hot all week thanks to almost daily doses of bullish news.
Feb 204 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
It was another dramatic week on LaSalle. Seemingly inspired by the Olympians in Milan-Cortina, the markets underwent their own fits of athletic prowess as they jumped, twirled, and in some cases tumbled. The market tone is unsettled as buyers and sellers are going head-to-head. By the conclusion of Friday’s spot session, every commodity sat at a lower price than a week prior. However, that simple conclusion belies the volatile activity that occurred over the course of the wee
Feb 134 min read
Video Now Available: Geoff Vanden Heuvel Highlights Urgent Water Challenges at Sustainable Agriculture Summit in Anaheim
Last November, we reported that Geoff Vanden Heuvel spoke at the 2025 Sustainable Agriculture Summit in Anaheim. Video of his presentation is now available and can be viewed here.
Feb 131 min read


Producer Review Board Meeting Report
The Producer Review Board (PRB) held a meeting on Monday, February 2, 2026. It was a virtual meeting, and it started a bit late due to technical difficulties. The main purpose of the meeting was to consider 16 hardship requests that had been either carried over from a prior meeting or were submitted more recently. See the agenda meeting packet here.
Feb 65 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
What has gotten into the nonfat dry milk (NDM) market? NDM prices have been climbing since January, but the trajectory accelerated meaningfully this week. After taking a brief respite on Monday, the spot price for NDM rose every day between Tuesday and Friday, delivering an 18¢ increase, and qualifying as the commodity’s strongest week since May 2007. Prices settled at $1.64/lb. on Friday, which is not only the highest price since August 2022, but is also a comfortable 16.75¢
Feb 64 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
After rising unabashedly last week, the resolve of dairy markets was tested in recent days with mixed results. The CME was abuzz with activity as buyers and sellers gathered to test the limits and fortitude of the market’s newfound vigor.
Jan 304 min read


Milk, Dairy and Grain Market Commentary
This weekend’s impending winter storm isn’t the only blanket of white settling across the U.S. Milk production continues to surge across the country with production rising to 19.568 billion pounds in December. This represents a 4.4% increase over the same month last year and means that when full year data was tallied, U.S. producers made 2.8% more milk in 2025 than during the prior year, after accounting for leap day. Most states saw production rise, but the biggest increase
Jan 234 min read
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