Strong exports have assuaged concerns about rising U.S. cheese and butterfat output. Even after a significant spring and early-summer rally, U.S. cheese and butter remain the cheapest in the world, putting a firm floor under these dairy commodities. Domestic butter demand is holding strong, but Americans are eating a little less cheese than they did last year.   On the supply side, warm weather is tightening cream supplies as components drop seasonally and ice cream product

U.S. milk and dairy product output is growing quickly. But formidable exports are keeping a firm floor under the dairy markets. Even after sizable spring rallies, American cheese and butter are the cheapest in the world. Exports of those products are strong and likely to remain so. Daily average U.S. cheese exports surged to an all-time high in April, up 6.7% from already-lofty volumes in April 2024. U.S. exporters sent butter abroad at a good clip, but shipments fell well sh

The cheese markets are searching for the ceiling. CME spot Cheddar blocks rallied 7.75ȼ this week to $1.9475 per pound, and they established a fresh seven-month high. Barrels climbed 1.75ȼ to $1.87. Such lofty values were wholly unexpected earlier in the year, when the trade was focused on the impact of new cheese production. But start-up issues have reduced the volume of fresh cheese that meets CME specifications for delivery to Chicago. USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that

For several years the heifer shortage restrained growth in U.S. milk output. But the invisible hand has proved its might once again. Given enough time and economic incentive, industries can turn scarcity into abundance. Dairy producers have managed this feat by culling significantly fewer cows than they did in the past, reducing their need for replacement heifers. In 2023, U.S. dairy producers culled about 35,000 fewer cows than their average in the five previous years. Last

The cheese markets soared. CME spot Cheddar blocks leapt 11.25ȼ to $1.93 per pound, their highest price since January. Barrels followed hot on their tail, climbing 11ȼ to $1.88. The widely anticipated increase in U.S. cheese output is underway, but the ramp up has been slower than expected. Cheese buyers who were waiting for heavy supplies and lower prices to lock in their summer needs are now scrambling to get their hands on some product. USDA’s Dairy Market News notes that

The bulls feasted this week on news of booming U.S. dairy exports and signs that American dairy remains attractive to foreign buyers. Tuesday’s Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction served as an appetizer. Buyers bid up nearly all products. Compared to the late-April auction, whole milk powder prices climbed 6.2% while Cheddar jumped 12%. Both products notched three-year highs. Not to be outdone, butter rallied 3.8% to its highest-ever price at the GDT. And lactose values leapt 16

Ailing domestic consumption and dimming export prospects have weighed on dairy commodity values, and in turn, milk prices. The April Class III price was announced this week at $17.48/cwt. while Class IV came in at $17.92/cwt., representing the first time since October 2021 that both prices were below $18. Modest relief may be on the way as futures markets currently predict that both Class III and Class IV values will improve slightly later in the year. 

Every week, U.S. dairy producers send about 10,000 fewer milk cows to beef packers than they used to. That’s slowly adding up to more cows in the barn. Even so, dairy cow head counts are not as high as previously thought. After its quarterly survey, USDA trimmed its estimates of January and February milk cow inventories. The agency pegged the herd at...

The cheese markets moved from strength to strength after the early-spring selloff energized exports. U.S. cheese is the cheapest in the world, and shipments to key markets – including Mexico and South Korea – remained formidable through February. USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that, more recently, export orders have been stronger than expected, as Mexican buyers have not been deterred by trade war uncertainty. American exporters are hustling to move cheese abroad, which has

Spring has sprung and the resurgence of allergies isn’t the only sign of the season. Milk volumes are also expanding in most regions as the spring flush moves across the country. Seasonal increases are compounding milk volumes that are growing year over year both in liquid terms and in component values. As a result, milk supplies are plentiful in most parts of the U.S. Demand from bottlers has generally been upbeat, especially as many educational institutions are wrapping up

Tariff drama took center stage again this week as the long-awaited “Liberation Day” arrived. Speaking from the Rose Garden, President...

Dairy producers are doing all they can to keep their barns and milk tanks full, and it shows. In the week ending March 15, they sent just...

The days are getting longer and milk production is climbing. It’s officially spring. The Midwest welcomed in the new season with a few...

The dairy markets are adjusting to the new regime. Trade threats – and new tariffs on U.S. dairy exports to Canada and China – have...

Like a teenager in a bad relationship, U.S. tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico are on-again, off-again, and then changing their...

Red ink flooded Chicago this week. The dairy markets suffered a deluge of data and news that invigorated the bears. The trade war heated up.

U.S. milk production may have changed its tune. After slipping in the final months of 2024, output appears to have grown in January,

Love is in the air. And while folks across the country may be looking forward to preparing a special date night dinner for their...

It was a truly wild week on LaSalle Street. The dairy markets swung violently back and forth amid the on-again, off-again trade war.

This week may have been light on USDA reports, but there was no shortage of news for the dairy markets to digest. Developing stories...